Intel Slava Z
🇺🇦🇷🇺 “When Bakhmut falls, the frontline will soon move to the ridge running through Chasiv Yar (blue). That will give the Russians high ground over the Slovyansk-Konstantinovka line, the last line of defense in the Donbass.” - NotDave
This line is just a really long urban area, just trying to breach it from the east via "human wave tactics" will be impossible.
So I think the Russians will try to do two huge pincers on both ends - on Slovyansk and Konstantinovka, and simultaneously pressure them from the east.
So I think the Russians will try to do two huge pincers on both ends - on Slovyansk and Konstantinovka, and simultaneously pressure them from the east.
Intel Slava Z
This line is just a really long urban area, just trying to breach it from the east via "human wave tactics" will be impossible. So I think the Russians will try to do two huge pincers on both ends - on Slovyansk and Konstantinovka, and simultaneously pressure…
But in order to do that, they'll have to:
1) defeat the AFU grouping at Toretsk/Niu York
2) reconquer Lyman.
So I think the next big Wagner target is the first one. And by that, I don't think it'll happen soon, just that it'll be major. And here's how they'll do it.
1) defeat the AFU grouping at Toretsk/Niu York
2) reconquer Lyman.
So I think the next big Wagner target is the first one. And by that, I don't think it'll happen soon, just that it'll be major. And here's how they'll do it.
Intel Slava Z
But in order to do that, they'll have to: 1) defeat the AFU grouping at Toretsk/Niu York 2) reconquer Lyman. So I think the next big Wagner target is the first one. And by that, I don't think it'll happen soon, just that it'll be major. And here's how they'll…
The Wagnerites conquered Soledar by first conquering two hilltops above it, and then while simultaneously pushing in the urban area, encircling the AFU forces.
Intel Slava Z
The Wagnerites conquered Soledar by first conquering two hilltops above it, and then while simultaneously pushing in the urban area, encircling the AFU forces.
If you look at Niu York, it has a similar geography.
Since the eastern side of Niu York is heavily entrenched, as that was the border since 2015, Russians aren't likely to push there, as they've attempted so a few times.
AFU has likely heavily entrenched the southern side too.
Since the eastern side of Niu York is heavily entrenched, as that was the border since 2015, Russians aren't likely to push there, as they've attempted so a few times.
AFU has likely heavily entrenched the southern side too.
Intel Slava Z
If you look at Niu York, it has a similar geography. Since the eastern side of Niu York is heavily entrenched, as that was the border since 2015, Russians aren't likely to push there, as they've attempted so a few times. AFU has likely heavily entrenched…
“That tells me the Russians will try to attack Niu York from two nearby hilltops - from the east and from Zalizne. After that grouping falls, Konstantinovka is an easy target.”
Intel Slava Z
“That tells me the Russians will try to attack Niu York from two nearby hilltops - from the east and from Zalizne. After that grouping falls, Konstantinovka is an easy target.”
“About the capture of Lyman - if the Russians try to move north from Soledar, to Siversk, the Ukrainian DRGs in the Serebryanske forestry will have no other choice but to retreat beyond the Zerebets.
After that, the Russians have to try and storm Lyman from Zarichne and Torske.”
Personally, looking at the road network I believe Yampol will suffice to encircle or compel the retreat of the Siversk grouping of the AFU.
(End)
After that, the Russians have to try and storm Lyman from Zarichne and Torske.”
Personally, looking at the road network I believe Yampol will suffice to encircle or compel the retreat of the Siversk grouping of the AFU.
(End)
🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡Missiles flying over Ukraine.
Explosions are reported in the Kiev and Dnepropetrovsk regions.
Explosions are reported in the Kiev and Dnepropetrovsk regions.
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🇷🇺🇺🇦 The defeat of the 155-mm self-propelled guns AHS Krab of the Armed Forces of Ukraine using the Lancet UAV in the area of the settlement Kupyansk, Kharkov region.
🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡️Trams and trolleybuses temporarily do not run due to power outages in Nikolaev - local media
🇷🇺🇧🇾⚡️The Russian Federation and Belarus are practicing the transfer of aviation to operational airfields during exercises - Ministry of Defense of the Republic of Belarus
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🇷🇺🇺🇦 Footage, presumably from the scene of the explosion in Odessa
Intel Slava Z
🇷🇺🇺🇦⚡Missiles flying over Ukraine. Explosions are reported in the Kiev and Dnepropetrovsk regions.
🇺🇦 "We are waiting for more than 30 incoming missiles, air defense is working. The enemy pays more attention to the center of Ukraine.”
- Ukrainian Air Force
- Ukrainian Air Force